CUBA NEWS
August 20, 2004

Chavez win could yield a 2nd Cuba 594529

By Myriam Marquez. Orlando (FL) Sentinel. Omaha World-Herald, August 20, 2004.

Venezuela's firebrand President Hugo Chavez survived the recall effort against him. I have no crystal ball, no tarot cards or shells to divine the future, but I predicted as much more than a year ago.

It didn't take a Cuban santero to know that Chavez's act of class-baiting would bring out the poor en masse to him.

And in a country where about four in every five residents are poor, the surprising thing is that 42 percent of Venezuela's voters saw through Chavez's class-division rhetoric and ed his ouster.

Certainly, Chavez has mastered the art of propaganda, thanks to Cuba's own comandante, Fidel Castro, who has installed at least 10,000 doctors and thousands of teachers in Venezuela's barrios to serve the long-neglected poor.

Fix a kid's knee and proselytize in favor of Chavez. Teach an illiterate worker to read and sing the praises of Chavez. That's what Cuba's propaganda machine has accomplished for Chavez. No one should be surprised by the outcome, even if the vote involved fraud and chicanery, which may well turn out to be true.

No doubt Chavez hopes to install a one-party state like Cuba's dictatorship and call that a "democracy." He's already talking up disbanding city and state police forces to create a national police force. Gee, you think there will be a political litmus test for the job?

Chavez also wants to control the news media, just as Cuba does, thereby quashing any dissenting voices.

And the Venezuelan Congress, already controlled by Chavez backers, has ed a measure that would allow the Congress to remove judges and appoint others to the Supreme Court.

Justice for all, or only justice for Chavez lovers? Cuban exiles know that answer. We saw it up close and personal.

The truth is that Venezuela's a rich nation, yet Chavez's divisive style has succeeded in growing the ranks of the poor.

He has turned off foreign investors, blasted the Catholic Church as he sought to re-educate kids in his own image and gone so far as to attack the middle class as "oligarchs," making it harder for even small-business owners to exchange currency for U.S. dollars needed to buy goods abroad to grow.

In other words, Chavez wants a Cuban-style, top-down economy controlled by his government. It's no wonder labor unions are part of the opposition. In a one-party, communist-style state, labor has no right to negotiate pay and business owners have no rights to own anything.

Which might explain why Venezuela's most prestigious business association, Fedecamaras, called for dialogue with the Chavez government after this week's vote. Better to negotiate with the devil you know than to let the devil strip you of your livelihood, your future, your country.

With the United States counting on Venezuela to provide about 15 percent of petroleum imports, it's no wonder the Bush istration and American companies don't want to risk Chavez's ire.

Not after more than two years of mayhem, including national labor strikes, violent protests (Chavez's Bolivarian Circles didn't hesitate to shoot at peaceful protesters) and the short- lived coup that failed against him. Not when gasoline prices need to stabilize.

The opposition has plenty of very good reasons to want to get rid of Chavez. What opponents have yet to crystallize is an agenda that can show Venezuela's majority, the poor, that they will be part of the solution - that they won't be shut out as they have been again and again with each new president who has promised paradise, only to deliver more of the same nothing.

Venezuelans need a leader willing to tackle race and class issues - not to divide the country, as Chavez has sought to do, but to unite everyone behind an agenda that seeks justice without revenge, education for all and true rewards for those who work hard.

Unless that leader emerges before the next election, Venezuela will keep sinking in the name of "revolutionary equality."

Copyright 2004 Omaha World-Herald. All rights reserved.


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